Statistics and Probability
Problem
From where he stands, one step toward the cliff would send the drunken man over the edge. He takes random steps, either toward or away from the cliff. At any step his probability of taking a step away is 2/3, of a step toward the cliff 1/3. What is his chance of escaping the cliff?
| A. 2/27 | C. 4/27 |
| B. 107/243 | D. 1/2 |
Problem
Samuel Pepys wrote Isaac Newton to ask which of three events is more likely: that a person get (a) at least 1 six when 6 dice are rolled (b) at least two sixes when 12 dice are rolled, or (c) at least 3 sixes when 18 dice are rolled. What is the answer?
B. (b) is more likely than (a) and (c)
C. (c) is more likely than (a) and (b)
D. (a), (b), and (c) are equally likely
