December 2020
Find the probability that somebody is healthy given that they have positive test result?
Problem
A disease is known to affect 1 in 10,000 people. A screening test for the disease shows a positive result for 99% of the people with the disease. The test also shows positive for 2% of people who do not have the disease. Find the probability that somebody is healthy given that they have positive test result?
| A. 99.51% | C. 46.32% |
| B. 12.32% | D. 78.36% |
What is the probability that 4 depth charges will sink the submarine?
Problem
Assume that a single depth charge has a probability of 1/2 of sinking a submarine, 1/4 of damage and 1/4 of missing. Assume also that two damaging explosions sink the sub. What is the probability that 4 depth charges will sink the sub?
Problem
Find the equation of the curve passing through the point (3, 2) and having s slope 5x2 - x + 1 at every point (x, y).
| A. $y = \frac{5}{3}x^3 - \frac{1}{2}x^2 + x - \frac{31}{3}$ | C. $y = 5x^3 - 2x^2 + x - 118$ |
| B. $y = 5x^3 - 2x^2 + x - 31$ | D. $y = \frac{5}{3}x^3 - \frac{1}{2}x^2 + x - \frac{83}{2}$ |
Probability Problems Involving Coins
When you toss a coin, the outcome can either be head or tail. If the coin is so balanced that these two outcomes are equally likely to occur, then the probability that the outcome is head is 1/2, and the probability that the outcome is tail is also 1/2.
Example
A coin is tossed three times. What is the probability that the head will appear only once?
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